Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
2 - 1
Newcastle

Firmino (61'), Carvalho (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Isak (38')

Reaction

Jordan Henderson in action for Liverpool on August 6, 2022

Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp confirms Jordan Henderson hamstring injury

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp confirms that captain Jordan Henderson suffered a hamstring injury during his side's 2-1 victory over Newcastle United on Wednesday night.

Sep 1, 07:22

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 9-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Manchester United	4	-3	6
12	Liverpool	4	8	5
13	Crystal Palace	5	-2	5

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Brentford	5	3	6
10	Newcastle United	4	2	6
11	Manchester United	4	-3	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 9.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Newcastle United
77.1% ( -0.52)	13.88% ( 0.32)	9.03% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.57% (

-0.93)

29.44% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.49% (

-1.14)

50.51% (

1.15)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.79% (

-0.29)

6.21% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.53% (

-0.81)

23.47% (

0.82)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.06% (

-0.28)

41.94% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.62% (

-0.24)

78.38% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Liverpool 77.09%

Newcastle United 9.03%

Draw 13.88%

Liverpool	Draw	Newcastle United
2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.4% Total : 77.09%	1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.88%	1-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.95% Total : 9.03%