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Premier League
Liverpool logo
Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Anfield
Newcastle logo

Liverpool
2 - 1
Newcastle

Firmino (61'), Carvalho (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Isak (38')
Lascelles (87'), Trippier (90')

The Match

Match Report

Liverpool's Fabio Carvalho scores a 98th-minute winner to earn his side a 2-1 victory over previously-unbeaten Newcastle United at Anfield.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Newcastle United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Liverpool could line up in Wednesday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

Last Six:
Last Game: Liverpool 9-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League

Newcastle United

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 9.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Liverpool in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
LiverpoolDrawNewcastle United
77.1% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52) 13.88% (0.315 0.32) 9.03% (0.211 0.21)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-0.431 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.57% (-0.93300000000001 -0.93)29.44% (0.938 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.49% (-1.143 -1.14)50.51% (1.148 1.15)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.79% (-0.288 -0.29)6.21% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.53% (-0.813 -0.81)23.47% (0.817 0.82)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.06% (-0.278 -0.28)41.94% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.62% (-0.244 -0.24)78.38% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 77.09%
    Newcastle United 9.03%
    Draw 13.88%
LiverpoolDrawNewcastle United
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.197 0.2)
3-0 @ 9.32% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.267 0.27)
4-0 @ 6.47% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 5.62% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-0 @ 3.6% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 3.13% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.073 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.67% (-0.082 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.45% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.36% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 77.09%
1-1 @ 6.29% (0.185 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.8% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.61% (0.139 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 13.88%
1-2 @ 2.73% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 2.26% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 0.98% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 9.03%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Newcastle

Liverpool
74.1%
Draw
14.1%
Newcastle United
11.8%
382
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Newcastle
0-1
Liverpool

Joelinton (43')
Keita (19')
Jota (43'), Gomez (51'), Mane (68')
Dec 16, 2021 8pm
Liverpool
3-1
Newcastle
Jota (21'), Salah (25'), Alexander-Arnold (87')
Henderson (70')
Shelvey (7')
Joelinton (45+2'), Fraser (55'), Hayden (86')
Apr 24, 2021 12.30pm
Liverpool
1-1
Newcastle
Salah (3')
Kabak (9'), Fabinho (89')
Willock (90+5')
Fernandez (16')
Dec 30, 2020 8pm
Newcastle
0-0
Liverpool

Clark (12'), Hayden (85')

Fabinho (49'), Milner (65'), Phillips (78')
Jul 26, 2020 4pm
Newcastle
1-3
Liverpool
Gayle (1')
Fernandez (33')
Van Dijk (38'), Origi (59'), Mane (89')
> Match Report
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Lions
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205
> Premier League Full Table


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