AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
Goffertstadion
Go Ahead Eagles

Nijmegen
3 - 3
Go Ahead Eagles

Tannane (3'), Mattsson (78'), Sandler (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 2-0 Nijmegen
Sunday, October 16 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, October 15 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NECDrawGo Ahead Eagles
53.57% (0.079000000000001 0.08)24.23% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)22.2% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.03% (0.175 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.79% (0.239 0.24)50.21% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (0.212 0.21)72.16% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (0.12299999999999 0.12)18.67% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.99% (0.2 0.2)50.01% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Go Ahead Eagles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75% (0.124 0.12)37.25% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (0.121 0.12)74.03% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    NEC 53.57%
    Go Ahead Eagles 22.2%
    Draw 24.23%
NECDrawGo Ahead Eagles
1-0 @ 11.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.57%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 22.2%

Head to Head
May 8, 2022 11.15am
NEC
1-0
Go Ahead Eagles
Cissoko (90+1')
Elkarouani (41'), Bruijn (69')

Deijl (41'), Brouwers (87')
Feb 10, 2022 6pm
NEC
0-2
Go Ahead Eagles

Barreto (50')
Brouwers (18' pen.), Botos (27')
Brouwers (54'), Deijl (90+3')
Dec 19, 2021 1.30pm
Go Ahead Eagles
0-2
NEC

Deijl (79')
Tavsan (29'), Bruijn (37' pen.)
Proper (40')
May 7, 2021 7pm
Go Ahead Eagles
2-1
NEC
Brouwers (6'), Hendriks (25' pen.)
Bruijn (41' pen.)
Odenthal (90+3')
Oct 23, 2020 5.45pm