Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.