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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 86.32%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 4.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 4-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.08%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (1.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 86.32% ( | 9.05% ( | 4.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.65% ( | 22.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.63% ( | 41.36% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.56% ( | 3.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.98% ( | 15.02% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.89% ( | 48.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.69% ( | 83.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 3-0 @ 10.55% ( 2-0 @ 9.39% ( 4-0 @ 8.89% ( 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 4-1 @ 6.51% ( 5-0 @ 6% ( 1-0 @ 5.57% ( 5-1 @ 4.39% ( 6-0 @ 3.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 6-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 7-0 @ 1.62% ( 5-2 @ 1.61% ( 7-1 @ 1.19% 6-2 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 4.08% Total : 86.32% | 1-1 @ 4.08% ( 2-2 @ 2.51% ( 0-0 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 9.05% | 1-2 @ 1.49% ( 0-1 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 4.63% |