Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.