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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Emmen | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 5 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | -8 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 5 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | -8 | 0 |
| 18 | Fortuna Sittard | 5 | -9 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 43.3% ( | 25.27% ( | 31.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( | 48.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( | 70.2% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( | 22.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.47% ( | 55.52% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( | 28.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( | 64.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.3% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.42% |