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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 39.77% ( | 27.28% ( | 32.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.17% ( | 55.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.05% ( | 76.95% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( | 27.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.06% ( | 62.94% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( | 31.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% ( | 68.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 4-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.76% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 2-2 @ 4.81% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.95% |