/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fspalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
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Dirk Abels
7'
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Jonathan de Guzman
29'
Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for NEC had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result
Sparta Rotterdam
46.76%
▲
(+0.20)
Draw
25.46%
▼
(-0.14)
NEC
27.79%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
52.78%
▲
(+0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.41%
▲
(+0.53)
Under 2.5
50.59%
▼
(-0.53)
Over 3.5
27.5%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 3.5
72.51%
▼
(-0.46)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5
78.36%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 0.5
21.64%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 1.5
45.24%
▲
(+0.47)
Under 1.5
54.76%
▼
(-0.47)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
67.36%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 0.5
32.65%
▼
(-0.23)
Over 1.5
30.81%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
69.19%
▼
(-0.26)
Score analysis
Sparta Rotterdam
46.75%
Draw
25.45%
NEC
27.79%
Sparta Rotterdam
1-0
@
10.81%
▼
(-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.28% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.39)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.75%
2-1 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.28% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.39)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.75%
Draw
1-1
@
12.1%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 25.45%
0-0 @ 7.06% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 25.45%
NEC
0-1
@
7.91%
▼
(-0.12)
1-2 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.79%
1-2 @ 6.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.79%
