MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 10:52:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Goffertstadion
Excelsior

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Excelsior

Dimata (59')
Marquez (81'), Tannane (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lamprou (88')
Seymor (22'), Baas (74'), van Duinen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 SBV Excelsior

With the teams neck and neck in the standings, we are anticipating a fairly even contest with chances at both ends. We can also see NEC just about managing to pip their visitors to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawSBV Excelsior
50.89% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09) 23.84% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 25.27% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 55.82% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (0.248 0.25)45.57% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1% (0.235 0.24)67.9% (-0.233 -0.23)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (0.060000000000002 0.06)17.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (0.10299999999999 0.1)48.77% (-0.1 -0.1)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (0.233 0.23)31.98% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (0.265 0.27)68.43% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    NEC 50.9%
    SBV Excelsior 25.27%
    Draw 23.83%
NECDrawSBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.9%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.27%

How you voted: NEC vs SBV Excelsior

NEC
66.7%
Draw
20.0%
SBV Excelsior
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2021 7pm
SBV Excelsior
2-1
NEC
Zwarts (63', 79')
Wieffer (48')
Vet (16')
Jan 8, 2021 5.45pm
NEC
3-2
SBV Excelsior
Okita (50'), Elkarouani (79'), Bruijn (86' pen.)
Odenthal (28'), Proper (42'), Okita (72'), Vet (90+5')
Zwarts (14'), Van Rooijen (17')
Wieffer (49'), Matthys (90+4')
Ormonde-Ottewill (76')
Apr 10, 2020 7pm
Dec 6, 2019 7pm
SBV Excelsior
2-1
NEC
Fischer (48'), Zwarts (73')
Ter Haar Romeny (49')
Apr 22, 2017 5.30pm
NEC
0-1
SBV Excelsior

Bikel (6'), Golla (68'), von Haacke (87')
Van Duinen (58')
de Wijs (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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