Eredivisie | Gameweek 9

Oct 8, 2022 at 8pm UK

Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Excelsior

Dimata (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lamprou (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 0-1 Utrecht
Sunday, October 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	SBV Excelsior
50.89% ( -0.09)	23.84% ( -0.03)	25.27% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 55.82% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.43% (

0.25)

45.57% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1% (

0.24)

67.9% (

-0.23)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

0.06)

17.94% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.23% (

0.1)

48.77% (

-0.1)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02% (

0.23)

31.98% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56% (

0.27)

68.43% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

NEC 50.9%

SBV Excelsior 25.27%

Draw 23.83%

NEC	Draw	SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.9%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.83%	0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.27%