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Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Emmen

Sparta
3 - 1
Emmen

van Crooij (13'), Vriends (82'), Engels (90+5')
Abels (21'), Lauritsen (47'), Verschueren (90+1'), Engels (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Romeny (51')
Araujo (61'), Assehnoun (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Emmen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-2 Sparta
Sunday, October 2 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, October 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Emmen

Emmen have been toothless in attack all season long and have scored the fewest number of goals in the Eredivisie so far. While we expect them to get on the scoresheet here, we are also backing Sparta to narrowly come away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawEmmen
40.25% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 26.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.16% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.08% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.031999999999996 0.03)25.91% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.042999999999999 0.04)60.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)30.11% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-0.058 -0.06)66.25% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 40.24%
    Emmen 33.16%
    Draw 26.59%
Sparta RotterdamDrawEmmen
1-0 @ 10.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.24%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Sparta vs Emmen

Sparta Rotterdam
89.5%
Draw
10.5%
Emmen
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2021 7pm
Emmen
1-1
Sparta
De Leeuw (90+6' pen.)
Verrips (78'), Laursen (90+4')
Duarte (43')
Kharchouch (90+3')
Dec 4, 2020 7pm
Sparta
2-1
Emmen
Duarte (22'), Harroui (58')
Gravenberch (80')
Araujo (52')
Pena (5'), Jansen (6'), Ben Moussa (79')
Mar 1, 2020 3.45pm
Sparta
5-1
Emmen
Joosten (2'), Rayhi (29'), Vriends (32'), Araujo (81' og.), Harroui (86')
De Leeuw (54')
Ben Moussa (37'), Chacon (75')
Dec 15, 2019 11.15am
Emmen
2-0
Sparta
Pena (18' pen.), De Leeuw (29' pen.)
Veendorp (37')

Auassar (50'), Dervisoglu (86')
May 20, 2018 1.30pm
Sparta
1-3
Emmen
Spierings (28')
Fischer (43'), Vriends (70'), Dervisoglu (84')
Dougall (87')
Chacon (38'), Jansen (59'), Bannink (66')
Loen (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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