Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 39.73% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.41%) and 1-3 (4.79%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.