Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.