Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Southampton |
| 42.49% ( | 26.44% ( | 31.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.99% ( | 53.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( | 74.61% ( |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( | 24.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% | 59.25% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% ( | 31.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.13% ( | 67.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.49% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0-3 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.07% |