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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Dean Court
Southampton logo

Bournemouth
0 - 1
Southampton


Mepham (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adams (9')
Perraud (15'), Maitland-Niles (43'), Armstrong (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 West Ham
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Bournemouth 1-0 Southampton

Defensive failures have plagued Southampton on the road for several months now, and such frailties could only be exposed more without the bright Bella-Kotchap marshalling the backline. Bournemouth's extra rest day will also work in their favour, and we can envisage O'Neil's side keeping their unbeaten run going with a one-goal success versus the out-of-form Saints. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
BournemouthDrawSouthampton
42.49% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02) 26.44% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 31.07% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.59% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (0.023000000000003 0.02)53.01% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)74.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75%59.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.025999999999996 0.03)31.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (0.032000000000004 0.03)67.87% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 42.49%
    Southampton 31.07%
    Draw 26.43%
BournemouthDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.49%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.07%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Southampton

Bournemouth
69.0%
Draw
19.9%
Southampton
11.1%
332
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 12.15pm
Bournemouth
0-3
Southampton

Wilshere (84'), Surridge (90+3')
Djenepo (37'), Redmond (45+1', 59')
Bednarek (30'), Vestergaard (74')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Southampton
3-3
Bournemouth
Long (12'), Ward-Prowse (55'), Targett (67')
Romeu (26'), Long (35')
Gosling (20'), Wilson (32', 86')
Gosling (45')
Oct 20, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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