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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Dean Court
Leicester logo

Bournemouth
2 - 1
Leicester

Billing (67'), Christie (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daka (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawLeicester City
37.44% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)26.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)36.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (-0.07 -0.07)52.29% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (-0.061 -0.06)73.99% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)27.1% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (-0.064 -0.06)62.48% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)27.9% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)63.52% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 37.44%
    Leicester City 36.07%
    Draw 26.49%
BournemouthDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 36.07%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Leicester

Bournemouth
26.5%
Draw
12.9%
Leicester City
60.6%
287
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
4-2
Leicester
Fraser (19', 37'), King (41' pen.), Smith (81')
Lerma (29'), Wilson (71'), Gosling (79')
Maddison (88' pen.), Albrighton (89')
Maguire (12'), Morgan (45'), Schmeichel (70')
Morgan (69')
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Leicester
1-1
Bournemouth
Mahrez (97')
Silva (50'), Schmeichel (94')
King (35' pen.)
Gosling (64')
rhs 2.0


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