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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Dean Court
Leicester logo

Bournemouth
2 - 1
Leicester

Billing (67'), Christie (71')
Fredericks (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daka (10')
Soumare (59'), Maddison (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bournemouth 1-2 Leicester City

Bournemouth's 100th Premier League home game could end in disappointment, as the main ingredient missing for Leicester this term has been belief. Now that confidence is now partly restored, the visitors can make their greater individual quality count and compensate for defensive deficiencies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawLeicester City
37.44% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 26.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 36.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (-0.07 -0.07)52.29% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (-0.061 -0.06)73.99% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)27.1% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (-0.064 -0.06)62.48% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)27.9% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)63.52% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 37.44%
    Leicester City 36.07%
    Draw 26.49%
BournemouthDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 36.07%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Leicester

Bournemouth
26.5%
Draw
12.9%
Leicester City
60.6%
287
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
4-2
Leicester
Fraser (19', 37'), King (41' pen.), Smith (81')
Lerma (29'), Wilson (71'), Gosling (79')
Maddison (88' pen.), Albrighton (89')
Maguire (12'), Morgan (45'), Schmeichel (70')
Morgan (69')
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Leicester
1-1
Bournemouth
Mahrez (97')
Silva (50'), Schmeichel (94')
King (35' pen.)
Gosling (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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