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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2022 at 2pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Leicester logo

Brighton
5 - 2
Leicester

Thomas (10' og.), Caicedo (15'), Trossard (64'), Mac Allister (71' pen., 90+7')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Iheanacho (1'), Daka (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeicester City
46.26% (1.221 1.22)24.82% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)28.92% (-1.177 -1.18)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-0.578 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.43 -0.43)47.26% (0.431 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (-0.399 -0.4)69.48% (0.401 0.4)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.357 0.36)20.49% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.565 0.56)52.97% (-0.564 -0.56)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.93% (-1.044 -1.04)30.07% (1.045 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.8% (-1.273 -1.27)66.2% (1.274 1.27)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 46.26%
    Leicester City 28.92%
    Draw 24.82%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.279 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.304 0.3)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.098 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.26%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 28.92%

How you voted: Brighton vs Leicester

Brighton & Hove Albion
55.7%
Draw
24.7%
Leicester City
19.5%
287
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Leicester
2-2
Brighton
Leicester win 4-2 on penalties
Barnes (6'), Lookman (45+5')
Mendy (77'), Iheanacho (89')
Webster (45+3'), Mwepu (71')
Sep 19, 2021 2pm
Brighton
2-1
Leicester
Maupay (35' pen.), Welbeck (50')
Veltman (20'), Sanchez (90+4')
Vardy (61')
Ndidi (44')
Mar 6, 2021 8pm
Feb 10, 2021 7.30pm
rhs 2.0


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