Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
2 - 1
Brighton

Mitrovic (48'), Dunk (55' og.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mac Allister (60' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

Last Six:

Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Fulham
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Brentford	4	3	5
11	Fulham	4	0	5
12	Crystal Palace	4	-2	4

Brighton & Hove Albion

Last Six:

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Tottenham Hotspur	4	6	10
4	Brighton & Hove Albion	4	4	10
5	Leeds United	4	3	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
37.1% ( -0.03)	26.34% ( 0.03)	36.56% ( 0)

Both teams to score 53.08% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.35% (

-0.12)

51.65% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.57% (

-0.1)

73.43% (

0.1)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.01% (

-0.07)

26.99% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.66% (

-0.09)

62.34% (

0.09)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7% (

-0.05)

27.3% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.25% (

-0.07)

62.75% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Fulham 37.1%

Brighton & Hove Albion 36.56%

Draw 26.34%

Fulham	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.1%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 36.56%