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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Bournemouth logo

Newcastle
1 - 1
Bournemouth

Isak (67' pen.)
Joelinton (69'), Burn (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Billing (62')
Christie (34'), Tavernier (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-0 Bournemouth

Newcastle's sturdy rearguard will prove quite the upgrade on a flaky Nottingham Forest defence for Bournemouth this weekend, and the Cherries' penchant for conceding goals away from home is apparent. The potential returns of Saint-Maximin and Guimaraes will only benefit the hosts at their St James' Park fortress, and we expect the Magpies to claim a long-awaited win before the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
62.51% (0.46400000000001 0.46) 21.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 16.24% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 50.25% (-1.001 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (-0.821 -0.82)46.1% (0.818 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (-0.784 -0.78)68.4% (0.779 0.78)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.84% (-0.124 -0.12)14.15% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.17% (-0.239 -0.24)41.82% (0.235 0.23)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.54% (-1.081 -1.08)41.45% (1.077 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.04% (-0.965 -0.97)77.96% (0.962 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 62.51%
    Bournemouth 16.24%
    Draw 21.24%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 11.21% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 62.51%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.24%
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.24%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle United
87.9%
Draw
7.2%
Bournemouth
4.9%
264
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
King (48' pen., 81')
Lerma (19'), Ibe (45'), Daniels (83')
Rondon (45'), Ritchie (94')
Perez (9'), Hayden (75')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Newcastle
2-1
Bournemouth
Rondon (7', 40')
Schar (45'), Rondon (90')
Lerma (45')
Cook (90')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
Smith (80'), Gosling (89')
Ake (52')
Gayle (17', 45')
Ritchie (53'), Yedlin (82'), Diame (85'), Perez (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Bournemouth157352320324
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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