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Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Crystal Palace logo

Newcastle
0 - 0
Crystal Palace


Longstaff (15'), Fraser (67')
FT

Ward (56'), Doucoure (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Crystal Palace

Scoring and conceding away from home has been the theme for Crystal Palace over the past few months, and a similar pattern should be followed here, with Newcastle still vulnerable at the back at times. Both teams will be fired up to put their midweek disappointments behind them, but the bouncing St James' Park atmosphere, potential returns of Guimaraes and Saint-Maximin and Isak's explosive start will all work in Newcastle's favour as Howe's side seek to grind out a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
48.59% (1.867 1.87) 25.65% (-0.627 -0.63) 25.76% (-1.239 -1.24)
Both teams to score 50.58% (0.862 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (1.61 1.61)52.69% (-1.61 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (1.36 1.36)74.33% (-1.36 -1.36)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (1.522 1.52)21.7% (-1.52 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15% (2.272 2.27)54.85% (-2.271 -2.27)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.6% (-0.158 -0.16)35.4% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-0.165 -0.16)72.16% (0.166 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 48.58%
    Crystal Palace 25.76%
    Draw 25.64%
Newcastle UnitedDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.73% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.213 0.21)
2-0 @ 8.97% (0.243 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.314 0.31)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.32 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.153 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.195 0.2)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.194 0.19)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.501 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.557 -0.56)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace

Newcastle United
71.6%
Draw
15.8%
Crystal Palace
12.6%
190
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Benteke (56')
Andersen (13'), Ward (27'), Benteke (89')
Wilson (65')
Wilson (27'), Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (90+2'), Ritchie (90+4')
Feb 2, 2021 8.15pm
Newcastle
1-2
Crystal Palace
Shelvey (2')
Shelvey (29')
Riedewald (21'), Cahill (25')
Clyne (51'), Milivojevic (72'), Ayew (90+3')
Nov 27, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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