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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Leicester
4 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Maddison (25', 35'), Barnes (27'), Daka (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 6-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 17 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNottingham Forest
58.08% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)23.42%18.51% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 48.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)51.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)17.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)41.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 58.06%
    Nottingham Forest 18.51%
    Draw 23.41%
Leicester CityDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.51%

How you voted: Leicester vs Nott'm Forest

Leicester City
68.0%
Draw
14.5%
Nottingham Forest
17.4%
413
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 4pm
Nott'm Forest
4-1
Leicester
Zinckernagel (23'), Johnson (24'), Worrall (32'), Spence (61')
Garner (65')
Iheanacho (40')
Ndidi (59'), Maddison (74')
May 4, 2013 12.45pm
Nott'm Forest
2-3
Leicester
Ward (50'), Cox (3')
Lansbury (49')
King (43'), James (24'), Knockaert (90')
Morgan (39'), Knockaert (90')