Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 3, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • James Maddison 25' goal
  • Harvey Barnes 27' goal
  • James Maddison 35' goal
  • Patson Daka 73' goal

Leicester City vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2022 5.30pm
Spurs 6 - 2 Leicester
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Harvey Barnes

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2022 8.00pm
Nott'm Forest 2 - 3 Fulham
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Taiwo Awoniyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result

Leicester City 58.08% (+0.01)
Draw 23.42%
Nottingham Forest 18.51% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.01% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.58% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 51.42% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 26.77% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73.23% (-0.01)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 82.55% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.45% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 52.09% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 47.92% (-0.01)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 58.15% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 41.85% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.7% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 78.3% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Leicester City 58.06%
Draw 23.41%
Nottingham Forest 18.51%
Leicester City
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 5.64% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 58.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.41%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.51%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Feb 6, 2022 4.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT The City Ground
  • Philip Zinckernagel 23' goal
  • Brennan Johnson 24' goal
  • Joe Worrall 32' goal
  • Djed Spence 61' goal
  • James Garner 65' yellowcard
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 40'
  • yellowcard Wilfred Ndidi 59'
  • yellowcard James Maddison 74'
Championship
Feb 19, 2014 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jamie Paterson 39' goal
  • Andy Reid 43' goal
  • Danny Fox 70' yellowcard
  • Greg Halford 81' yellowcard
  • goal Jamie Vardy 30'
  • yellowcard Wes Morgan 42'
  • redcard Paul Konchesky 60'
  • yellowcard Ritchie De Laet 74'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 82'
Championship
Nov 9, 2013 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Marcin Wasilewski 8' yellowcard
  • Anthony Knockaert 9' yellowcard
  • Dean Hammond 92' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Cox 31'
  • goal Jamie Mackie 43'
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 45'
  • yellowcard Chris Cohen 83'
Championship
May 4, 2013 12.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Simon Cox 3' goal
  • Henri Lansbury 49' yellowcard
  • Elliott Ward 50' goal
  • goal Matthew James 24'
  • yellowcard Wes Morgan 39'
  • goal Andy King 43'
  • goal Antony Knockaert 90'
  • yellowcard Antony Knockaert 90'
Championship
Nov 10, 2012 12.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Elliott Ward 7' goal
  • David Nugent 32' goal
  • goal Adlene Guedioura 22'
  • goal Simon Cox 67'
Championship
Mar 27, 2012 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Build-up

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