Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 58.08% ( | 23.42% | 18.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.58% ( | 51.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.77% ( | 73.23% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( | 17.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.09% ( | 47.92% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.15% ( | 41.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.7% ( | 78.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 3-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 4-0 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.07% ( 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.58% Total : 58.06% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.51% |