Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Everton |
| 40.53% ( | 26.54% ( | 32.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% ( | 52.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.48% ( | 74.51% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% ( | 25.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.41% | 60.59% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( | 30.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.67% ( | 66.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.53% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.28% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 1-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.93% |