Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.