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Joao Cancelo
20'
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Phil Foden
32'
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Riyad Mahrez
49'
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Erling Braut Haaland
65'
Manchester City vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.83%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 3-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.87%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Southampton Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 8.14%
2-1 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.56% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.01)
7-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.9%
Total : 81.83%
2-2 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 11.24%
0-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 6.93%
Head to Head
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Aymeric Laporte
45'+2'
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Raheem Sterling
12'
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Kevin De Bruyne
62'
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Zack Steffen
71'
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Phil Foden
75'
-
Riyad Mahrez
78'
-
Kyle Walker-Peters
7'
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Jan Bednarek
33'
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Stuart Armstrong
79'
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Mohamed Elyounoussi
90'+2'
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Aymeric Laporte
65'
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Kyle Walker-Peters
52'
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Valentino Livramento
84'
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Kevin De Bruyne
15'
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Riyad Mahrez
40'
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Ilkay Gundogan
45'+3'
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Riyad Mahrez
55'
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Kevin De Bruyne
59'
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Fernandinho
82'
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James Ward-Prowse
25'
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Che Adams
56'
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Oriol Romeu
38'
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James Ward-Prowse
42'
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Raheem Sterling
16'
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Kevin De Bruyne
25'
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Ederson
81'
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Che Adams
16'
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Oriol Romeu
45'
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Fernandinho
57'
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Gabriel Jesus
86'
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