Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 10

Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
4 - 0
Southampton

Cancelo (20'), Foden (32'), Mahrez (49'), Braut Haaland (65')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Reaction

Manchester City's Kevin De Bruyne in action with Southampton's Kyle Walker-Peters on October 8, 2022

Kevin De Bruyne moves above Dennis Bergkamp into fifth outright on all-time Premier League assist list

Kevin De Bruyne moves above Dennis Bergkamp into fifth outright on the all-time Premier League assist list after setting up a goal in Manchester City's 4-0 home win against Southampton.

Oct 8, 17:25

Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland celebrates scoring their fourth goal with teammates on October 8, 2022

Erling Braut Haaland breaks Lionel Messi scoring record under Pep Guardiola

Erling Braut Haaland breaks Lionel Messi's scoring record under Pep Guardiola after finding the net in Manchester City's 4-0 Premier League win against Southampton.

Oct 8, 16:48

Manchester City's Phil Foden celebrates scoring against Southampton on October 8, 2022

Manchester City go top with four-goal victory over Southampton

Manchester City move to the top of the Premier League table courtesy of a 4-0 victory over Southampton.

Oct 8, 15:53

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 5-0 Copenhagen
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Everton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.83%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 6.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 3-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.87%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Southampton
81.83% ( -0.03)	11.24% ( 0.02)	6.93% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.88% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.81% (

-0.1)

23.19% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.49% (

-0.13)

42.51% (

0.13)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.79% (

-0.02)

4.21% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.45% (

-0.07)

17.55% (

0.06)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.34% (

-0.07)

41.66% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.86% (

-0.07)

78.14% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 81.83%

Southampton 6.93%

Draw 11.24%

Manchester City	Draw	Southampton
3-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 7.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) 6-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 81.83%	1-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 11.24%	1-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 6.93%