Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 1
Dortmund

Stones (80'), Braut Haaland (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bellingham (56')

Reaction

Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland celebates scoring against Borussia Dortmund on September 14, 2022

Erling Braut Haaland hits late winner as Manchester City overcome Borussia Dortmund

Erling Braut Haaland scores the winner as Manchester City come from behind to record a 2-1 victory over Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League.

Sep 14, 20:59

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 0-4 Man City
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	6	7	15
2	Manchester City	6	14	14
3	Tottenham Hotspur	6	7	14

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, September 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Hoffenheim	6	5	12
5	Borussia Dortmund	6	1	12
6	Mainz 05	6	-3	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 63.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
63.62% ( -0.12)	18.3% ( 0.01)	18.08% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 65.1% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.28% (

0.17)

28.72% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.37% (

0.21)

49.63% (

-0.21)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.29% (

0.02)

8.7% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.04% (

0.05)

29.95% (

-0.05)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.3% (

0.22)

28.7% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48% (

0.28)

64.52% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 63.62%

Borussia Dortmund 18.08%

Draw 18.3%

Manchester City	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.62% 4-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 63.62%	1-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.42% Total : 18.3%	1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.87% Total : 18.08%