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John Stones
80'
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Erling Braut Haaland
84'
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Jude Bellingham
56'
Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 63.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Score analysis
3-1 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.06% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 4.62%
4-0 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 63.62%
2-2 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 18.3%
0-1 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 18.08%
