Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
0 - 4
Man City

FT(HT: 0-1)

Braut Haaland (20', 67'), Foden (58'), Dias (90+2')

Reaction

Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland celebrates scoring their first goal on September 6, 2022

Erling Braut Haaland scores twice as Manchester City thrash Sevilla

Erling Braut Haaland scores twice to take his tally for the season to 12 in seven games as Manchester City thrash Sevilla 4-0 in their Champions League opener.

Sep 6, 20:51

Watch: Erling Braut Haaland scores on Champions League debut for Manchester City

Manchester City striker Erling Braut Haaland scores within 20 minutes of his Champions League debut for the club, continuing his prolific start to the season.

Sep 6, 19:36

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 0-3 Barcelona
Saturday, September 3 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Real Valladolid	4	-6	4
17	Sevilla	4	-5	1
18	Elche	4	-8	1

Manchester City

Last Six:

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Man City
Saturday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arsenal	6	7	15
2	Manchester City	6	14	14
3	Tottenham Hotspur	6	7	14

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Manchester City
21.89% ( -0.23)	24.7% ( -0)	53.41% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 49.26% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.65% (

-0.22)

52.35% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.96% (

-0.19)

74.04% (

0.19)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24% (

-0.35)

38.76% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.51% (

-0.33)

75.49% (

0.34)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.44% (

0.01)

19.56% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.53% (

0.01)

51.47% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 21.89%

Manchester City 53.4%

Draw 24.69%

Sevilla	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.48% Total : 21.89%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.69%	0-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 10.09% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.4%