La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 27, 2022 at 9pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
2 - 1
Sevilla

Ramazani (42'), Sadiq (55')
Eguaras (33'), Fernandes (71'), de la Hoz (78'), Baptistao (84'), Samu (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Torres (30')
Lamela (12'), Rekik (15'), Mir (45'), Navas (47'), Angel Carmona (70'), Isco (78'), Delaney (80'), Telles (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Elche 1-1 Almeria
Monday, August 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Real Sociedad	2	-2	3
13	Almeria	2	-1	1
14	Sevilla	2	-1	1

Sevilla

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Real Valladolid
Friday, August 19 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Almeria	2	-1	1
14	Sevilla	2	-1	1
15	Mallorca	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Sevilla
42.91% ( 0.15)	27.4% ( 0.01)	29.69% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 48.09% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.8% (

-0.09)

57.19% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.95% (

-0.07)

78.05% (

0.07)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

0.04)

26.39% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

0.05)

61.54% (

-0.05)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.33% (

-0.17)

34.67% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.6% (

-0.18)

71.4% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Almeria 42.9%

Sevilla 29.69%

Draw 27.4%

Almeria	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.9%	1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.4%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 29.69%