La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
0 - 3
Barcelona

Jordan (33'), Angel Carmona (66')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Raphinha (21'), Lewandowski (36'), Garcia (50')
Dembele (9'), Gavi (13'), Balde (28'), Araujo (75'), Roberto (89')

Reaction

Barcelona's Raphinha celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 3, 2022

Raphinha scores first Barcelona goal in comfortable win over Sevilla

Raphinha and Eric Garcia both score their first goals for Barcelona either side of a Robert Lewandowski strike as Xavi's men ease past Sevilla with a 3-0 win.

Sep 3, 20:51

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

Last Six:

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, August 27 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Valencia	3	-1	3
15	Sevilla	3	-2	1
16	Espanyol	3	-4	1

Barcelona

Last Six:

Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Real Valladolid
Sunday, August 28 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Real Betis	3	5	9
3	Barcelona	3	7	7
4	Athletic Bilbao	3	5	7

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Barcelona
28.1% ( -4.05)	24.4% ( -0.7)	47.5% ( 4.74)

Both teams to score 56.43% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.09% (

1.08)

45.91% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.78% (

1.02)

68.22% (

-1.02)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02% (

-2.22)

29.97% (

2.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.91% (

-2.76)

66.09% (

2.76)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.58% (

2.53)

19.42% (

-2.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.76% (

3.99)

51.24% (

-3.99)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 28.1%

Barcelona 47.5%

Draw 24.4%

Sevilla	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.8) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.66) 2-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.78) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.44) Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.1%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.81) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.61) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.73) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.39) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.41) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.5%