La Liga
Gameweek
4
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-
Joan Jordan
33'
-
Jose Angel Carmona
66'
-
Ousmane Dembele
9'
-
Gavi
13'
-
Raphinha
21'
-
Alejandro Balde
28'
-
Robert Lewandowski
36'
-
Eric Garcia
50'
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Ronald Araujo
75'
-
Sergi Roberto
89'
Sevilla vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result
Sevilla
28.1%
▼
(-4.05)
Draw
24.4%
▼
(-0.70)
Barcelona
47.5%
▲
(+4.74)
Both Teams to Score:
56.43%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.09%
▲
(+1.09)
Under 2.5
45.91%
▼
(-1.09)
Over 3.5
31.78%
▲
(+1.02)
Under 3.5
68.22%
▼
(-1.02)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5
70.02%
▼
(-2.22)
Under 0.5
29.97%
▲
(+2.22)
Over 1.5
33.91%
▼
(-2.76)
Under 1.5
66.09%
▲
(+2.76)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
80.58%
▲
(+2.54)
Under 0.5
19.42%
▼
(-2.54)
Over 1.5
48.76%
▲
(+3.99)
Under 1.5
51.24%
▼
(-3.99)
Score analysis
Sevilla
28.1%
Draw
24.4%
Barcelona
47.5%
Sevilla
1-0
@
7.01%
▼
(-0.80)
2-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.67)
2-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.78)
3-1 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.47)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.45)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 28.1%
2-1 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.67)
2-0 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.78)
3-1 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.47)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.18)
3-0 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.45)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 28.1%
Draw
1-1
@
11.49%
▼
(-0.35)
0-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.4%
0-0 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.28)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.4%
Barcelona
0-1
@
9.54%
▲
(+0.31)
1-2 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.45)
0-2 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.82)
1-3 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.61)
0-3 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.73)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.20)
1-4 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.39)
0-4 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.41)
2-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 47.5%
1-2 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.45)
0-2 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.82)
1-3 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.61)
0-3 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.73)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.20)
1-4 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.39)
0-4 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.41)
2-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 47.5%
Head to Head
-
Ousmane Dembele
12'
-
Oscar Mingueza
67'
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Lionel Messi
73'
-
Gerard Pique
90'+4'
-
Martin Braithwaite
95'
-
Francisco Trincao
119'
-
Fernando
37'
-
Fernando
90'+2'
-
Joan Jordan
100'
-
Jules Kounde
101'
-
Youssef En-Nesyri
103'
-
Luuk de Jong
103'
-
Julen Lopetegui
103'
Form Data
Build-up
News