Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
5 - 0
Copenhagen

Braut Haaland (7', 32'), Khotcholava (39' og.), Mahrez (55' pen.), Alvarez (76')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Reaction

Manchester City's Erling Braut Haaland celebrates scoring against Copenhagen on October 5, 2022

Erling Braut Haaland at the double as Manchester City thrash Copenhagen

Manchester City make it three wins from three Champions League matches this season with a 5-0 success over Copenhagen.

Oct 5, 20:49

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Man City 6-3 Man Utd
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Copenhagen

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Copenhagen 1-0 Aarhus
Sunday, October 2 at 5pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Copenhagen had a probability of 11.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Copenhagen win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Copenhagen
69.76% ( 0.19)	18.45% ( 0.02)	11.79% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.5% (

-0.63)

43.49% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.11% (

-0.62)

65.89% (

0.62)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.7% (

-0.13)

11.3% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.07% (

-0.27)

35.93% (

0.27)

Copenhagen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.57% (

-0.77)

46.43% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.95% (

-0.59)

82.05% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 69.75%

Copenhagen 11.79%

Draw 18.45%

Manchester City	Draw	Copenhagen
2-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.6% Total : 69.75%	1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.76% Total : 18.45%	0-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.92% Total : 11.79%