/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmanlog.png)
-
Phil Foden
8'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
34'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
37'
-
Phil Foden
44'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
64'
-
Phil Foden
73'
-
Antony
56'
-
Anthony Martial
84'
-
Anthony Martial
90'+1'
Manchester City vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F39%2Fraphael-varane.jpg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F39%2Ferling-braut-haaland_1.jpeg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F39%2Fmncmnu.jpg)
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F39%2Frodri.JPG)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F39%2Fmanchester-city.JPG)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F39%2Fcristiano-ronaldo_1.jpeg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F32%2Fkalvin-phillips.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.62%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.89%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Manchester United Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.19%
5-1 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 71.62%
2-2 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 15.87%
0-1 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 12.52%
Harry Maguire
63'
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F37%2Fjack-grealish.JPG)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F36%2Ferik-ten-hag.JPG)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F37%2Fjack-grealish_1.jpeg)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F36%2Fharry-maguire.jpeg)