Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 6, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

Mandemakers Stadion

RKC Waalwijk
3 - 1
AZ

Bel Hassani (32'), Bakkali (87', 90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Karlsson (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between RKC Waalwijk and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 3-0 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, October 30 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 2-1 Dnipro-1
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 16.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 0-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
RKC Waalwijk	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
16.65% ( 0.04)	18.76% ( -0.17)	64.58% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 60.03% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.24% (

0.94)

33.76% (

-0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.4% (

1.06)

55.59% (

-1.06)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.61% (

0.63)

33.38% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.99% (

0.69)

70.01% (

-0.7)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.11% (

0.29)

9.88% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.23% (

0.68)

32.76% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

RKC Waalwijk 16.65%

AZ Alkmaar 64.58%

Draw 18.76%

RKC Waalwijk	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 4.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 16.65%	1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.76%	1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 7.48% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 4.33% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 2% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.45% Total : 64.58%