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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 11.15am UK
 
AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior
2 - 1
AZ

Horemans (6'), Azarkan (31')
Fein (59'), Markelo (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sugawara (48')
Beukema (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 7-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

With 13 goals scored across their five league games on the road so far, AZ have proven themselves to be a formidable attacking threat away from home, and we can see them continuing the trend here en route to a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
18.18% (0.396 0.4) 20.3% (0.129 0.13) 61.52% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 57.55% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.57% (0.077000000000005 0.08)38.43% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.28% (0.082000000000001 0.08)60.72% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.479 0.48)34.56% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (0.505 0.51)71.28% (-0.503 -0.5)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.95% (-0.12 -0.12)12.04% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.46% (-0.258 -0.26)37.53% (0.261 0.26)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 18.18%
    AZ Alkmaar 61.52%
    Draw 20.3%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 4.97% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 4.42% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.35% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 18.18%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 9.32% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.58% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.71% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 61.52%

How you voted: Excelsior vs AZ

SBV Excelsior
20.0%
Draw
12.0%
AZ Alkmaar
68.0%
25
Head to Head
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
SBV Excelsior
4-2
AZ
Fortes (21'), Van Rhijn (51' og.), Bruins (60' pen.), Omarsson (66')
Mattheij (41')
Koopmeiners (30'), Johnsen (70')
Gudmundsson (59')
Dec 15, 2018 6.45pm
AZ
2-1
SBV Excelsior
Til (39'), Johnsen (94')
Ouwejan (57')
Mahmudov (30')
Fortes (75')
Mar 3, 2018 5.30pm
SBV Excelsior
1-2
AZ
Messaoud (64')
Koolwijk (34'), Bruins (70')
Zwarthoed (19' og.), Jahanbakhsh (44')
Svensson (75')
Sep 24, 2017 3.45pm
Mar 5, 2017 11.30am
AZ
1-1
SBV Excelsior
Dos Santos Souza (21')
Luckassen (62'), Rienstra (64'), Vlaar (69'), Til (74'), Svensson (90')
Van Duinen (60')
Koolwijk (28'), Mattheij (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV15140156124442
2FC UtrechtUtrecht1511222920935
3Ajax15103232161633
4Feyenoord1595135161932
5FC Twente1584330201028
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1582528161226
7NAC BredaNAC Breda157171723-622
8Go Ahead Eagles156362523221
9Fortuna SittardSittard155461721-419
10Heerenveen155371628-1218
11NECNijmegen155192119216
12Willem II154471618-216
13PEC Zwolle154471524-916
14Groningen154471424-1016
15Heracles153571628-1214
16Sparta RotterdamSparta152581323-1011
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1513111537-226
18Almere CityAlmere City151311734-276


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