Eredivisie Gameweek 10
Ajax
Oct 16, 2022 7.00pm
7
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Excelsior
  • Jorge Sanchez 15' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 26' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 44' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 59' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 65' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 75' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 81' goal
  • goal Nikolas Agrafiotis 90'

Ajax vs SBV Excelsior - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 3.30pm
Volendam 2 - 4 Ajax
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 8.00pm
Nijmegen 1 - 1 Excelsior
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Kenzo Goudmijn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 85.07%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 5.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 4-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.11%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Ajax 85.07% ▲ (+0.20)
Draw 9.53% ▼ (-0.03)
SBV Excelsior 5.39% ▼ (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.28% ▼ (-1.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 79.25% ▼ (-0.87)
Under 2.5 20.74% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 3.5 60.85% ▼ (-1.22)
Under 3.5 39.14% ▲ (+1.22)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 96.65% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 3.35% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 85.27% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 1.5 14.72% ▲ (+0.38)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5 56.16% ▼ (-1.42)
Under 0.5 43.84% ▲ (+1.41)
Over 1.5 20.01% ▼ (-1.20)
Under 1.5 79.99% ▲ (+1.19)

Score analysis

Ajax 85.07%
Draw 9.53%
SBV Excelsior 5.39%
Ajax
3-0 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.35)
2-0 @ 8.47% ▲ (+0.39)
4-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.22)
3-1 @ 7.91% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 6.71% ▼ (-0.09)
5-0 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.28)
5-1 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.14)
6-0 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.15)
6-1 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.09)
5-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.12)
7-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)
7-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.06)
6-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 85.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 9.53%
SBV Excelsior
1-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 5.39%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 30
Ajax
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
6
2
HT : 3 1
FT Amsterdam ArenA (Amsterdam)
Excelsior
  • Noussair Mazraoui 4' yellowcard
  • Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 10' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 37' goal
  • Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 40' goal
  • Dusan Tadic 60' goal
  • Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 65' goal
  • Kasper Dolberg 75' goal
  • Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 32'
  • goal Mounir El Hamdaoui 42'
  • yellowcard Ryan Koolwijk 43'
  • yellowcard Mounir El Hamdaoui 49'
  • goal Jeffry Fortes 89'
Eredivisie Gameweek 12
Excelsior
Nov 11, 2018 1.30pm
1
7
HT : 0 2
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
Ajax
  • Jeffry Fortes 25' yellowcard
  • Dogucan Haspolat 25' yellowcard
  • Herve Matthys 43' yellowcard
  • Ali Messaoud 52' goal
  • goal Donny van de Beek 31'
  • goal Lasse Schone 44'
  • goal Donny van de Beek 48'
  • goal Kasper Dolberg 58'
  • goal Jerdy Schouten 71' (OG)
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 79'
  • goal David Neres 87'
Eredivisie
Excelsior
May 6, 2018 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion (Rotterdam)
Ajax
  • Matthijs de Ligt 20' goal
  • goal Justin Kluivert 48'
  • goal Kasper Dolberg 53'
Eredivisie
Ajax
Dec 14, 2017 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Amsterdam ArenA (Amsterdam)
Excelsior
  • Siem de Jong 23' goal
  • Joel Veltman 39' yellowcard
  • Kasper Dolberg 57' goal
  • Hakim Ziyech 86' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Koolwijk 6'
  • goal Mike van Duinen 40'
  • yellowcard Jeffry Fortes 45'
  • yellowcard Hicham Faik 57'
  • yellowcard Jordy de Wijs 59'
  • yellowcard Mike van Duinen 86'
Eredivisie
Excelsior
Mar 19, 2017 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Ajax
  • Kenny Tete 26' goal
  • Mike van Duinen 37' yellowcard
  • Ryan Koolwijk 80' yellowcard
  • Frederic Ribeiro 92' yellowcard
  • goal Justin Kluivert 32'
  • yellowcard Bertrand Traore 67'
  • yellowcard Nick Viergever 87'
Eredivisie
Ajax
Oct 29, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Excelsior
  • Hakim Ziyech 48' goal
  • Lasse Schone 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henrico Drost 91'

Form Data

Napoli 4 - 2 Ajax
Volendam 2 - 4 Ajax
Ajax 1 - 6 Napoli
Ajax 1 - 1 Go Ahead Eagles
AZ 2 - 1 Ajax
Liverpool 2 - 1 Ajax
Nijmegen 1 - 1 Excelsior
Excelsior 0 - 1 Utrecht
Sittard 1 - 0 Excelsior
Excelsior 2 - 1 Emmen
RKC Waalwijk 5 - 2 Excelsior
FC Twente 4 - 0 Excelsior