Ajax vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.