Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax1 - 6Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Saturday, October 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, October 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Torino
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Ajax 1-2 Napoli
In what will be a tightly contested game in Amsterdam, we expect both sides to create plenty of chances and to play an open game that could leave them susceptible to counter-attacks. Nevertheless, Napoli will manage to find a way through the Ajax rearguard due to their sheer quality in the final third. Their offensive arsenal will prove to be too much for Ajax to handle in the end, handing them a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Napoli |
40.8% ( 0.04) | 23.3% ( 0.02) | 35.9% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 63.98% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.46% ( -0.1) | 37.54% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.23% ( -0.11) | 59.76% ( 0.11) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.14% ( -0.02) | 18.85% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.69% ( -0.05) | 50.31% ( 0.05) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.84% ( -0.07) | 21.15% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.99% ( -0.11) | 54.01% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax 40.8%
Napoli 35.9%
Draw 23.29%
Ajax | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.9% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Napoli
Ajax
27.6%Draw
16.1%Napoli
56.3%503
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-24 05:10:49
10am
Munar
Borges
Borges
10am
Navone
Popyrin
Popyrin
10am
Vukic
Daniel
Daniel
10am
Bouzas Maneiro
Badosa
Badosa
10am
Davis
Sherif
Sherif
10am
Putintseva
Yuan
Yuan
10am
Stephens
Trevisan
Trevisan
10am
Zhu
Jimenez Kasintseva
Jimenez Kasintseva
11.30am
Altmaier
Landaluce
Landaluce
11.30am
Rinderknech
Shevchenko
Shevchenko
11.30am
Safiullin
Seyboth Wild
Seyboth Wild
11.30am
Arango
Anisimova
Anisimova
11.30am
Sorribes Tormo
Pera
Pera
11.30am
Zhang
Rogers
Rogers
12pm
Osaka
Minnen
Minnen
12pm
Vekic
Siegemund
Siegemund
1pm
Darderi
Monfils
Monfils
1pm
Karatsev
Marozsan
Marozsan
1pm
Van Assche
Bergs
Bergs
1pm
Linette
Cocciaretto
Cocciaretto
1pm
Wang
Tomova
Tomova
1pm
Wang
Dolehide
Dolehide
1.30pm
Dart
Bucsa
Bucsa
1.30pm
Raducanu
Lourdes Carle
Lourdes Carle
2.30pm
Bronzetti
Gracheva
Gracheva
2.30pm
Frech
Cristian
Cristian
2.30pm
Hibino
Krueger
Krueger
3pm
Coric
Hassan
Hassan
3pm
Kokkinakis
Draper
Draper
3pm
Nakashima
Bagnis
Bagnis
3pm
Van De Zandschulp
Eubanks
Eubanks
4pm
Baptiste
Saville
Saville
4pm
Bejlek
Blinkova
Blinkova
4pm
Errani
Wozniacki
Wozniacki
4pm
Montgomery
Avanesyan
Avanesyan
4.30pm
Klein
Llamas Ruiz
Llamas Ruiz
4.30pm
Burel
Danilovic
Danilovic
5pm
Moutet
Shang
Shang
5.30pm
Diaz Acosta
Shapovalov
Shapovalov
6pm
Andreeva
Townsend
Townsend
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 75 | 32 | 43 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 36 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 88 | -57 | 16 |
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