Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Torino had a probability of 12.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Torino |
| 69.69% ( | 18.28% ( | 12.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.94% ( | 42.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.53% ( | 64.47% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.08% ( | 10.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.91% ( | 35.09% ( |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.91% ( | 45.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.99% ( | 81.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Torino |
| 2-0 @ 12.07% 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 3-0 @ 8.92% ( 3-1 @ 7.1% ( 4-0 @ 4.94% ( 4-1 @ 3.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 5-0 @ 2.19% ( 5-1 @ 1.74% ( 4-2 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 3.89% Total : 69.69% | 1-1 @ 8.68% ( 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 2-2 @ 3.83% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.28% | 0-1 @ 3.92% ( 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0-2 @ 1.56% ( 2-3 @ 1.02% 1-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.16% Total : 12.03% |