Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Torino
1 - 0
Lecce

Vlasic (40')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Torino and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

Last Six:

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Torino
Thursday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Lazio	5	2	8
9	Torino	4	0	7
10	Fiorentina	5	0	6

Lecce

Last Six:

Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Lecce
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Bologna	5	-3	3
17	Lecce	4	-2	2
18	Sampdoria	5	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Lecce
43.75% ( 0.31)	27.44% ( -0.03)	28.81% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 47.53% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.31% (

-0.02)

57.69% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.55% (

-0.01)

78.45% (

0.02)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82% (

0.15)

26.18% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.73% (

0.2)

61.27% (

-0.2)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.38% (

-0.23)

35.62% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.61% (

-0.24)

72.39% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Torino 43.75%

Lecce 28.81%

Draw 27.44%

Torino	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.75%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 28.81%