Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 5, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
  • Nikola Vlasic 40' goal

Torino vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Atalanta 3 - 1 Torino
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Antonio Sanabria

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Napoli 1 - 1 Lecce
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gabriel Espeto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result

Torino 43.75% (+0.32)
Draw 27.44% (-0.03)
Lecce 28.81% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.53% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.31% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 57.69% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 21.55% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 78.45% (+0.02)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5 73.82% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 26.18% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 38.73% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 61.27% (-0.21)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 64.38% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 35.62% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 27.61% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 72.39% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Torino 43.75%
Draw 27.44%
Lecce 28.81%
Torino
1-0 @ 12.49% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 8.65% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.86% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.74% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.25% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 43.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.33% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.44%
Lecce
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 28.81%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2020 5.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Via del Mare
  • Alessandro Deiola 11' goal
  • Antonin Barak 19' goal
  • Zan Majer 33' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 43' yellowcard
  • Filippo Falco 64' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 76' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Lapadula 78' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas N'Koulou 12'
  • yellowcard Soualiho Meite 18'
  • yellowcard Ola Aina 60'
Serie A Gameweek 3
Sep 16, 2019 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Torino)
  • Alejandro Berenguer 40' yellowcard
  • Andrea Belotti 58' goal
  • yellowcard Luca Rossettini 15'
  • yellowcard Fabio Lucioni 18'
  • goal Diego Farias 35'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 50'
  • yellowcard Andrea Tabanelli 56'
  • goal Marco Mancosu 73'
  • yellowcard Andrea Rispoli 88'