/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
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Olivier Giroud
69'
-
Matteo Politano
55'
-
Giovanni Simeone
78'
AC Milan vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result
AC Milan
35.82%
▲
(+0.27)
Draw
28.62%
▲
(+0.20)
Napoli
35.56%
▼
(-0.46)
Both Teams to Score:
45.95%
▼
(-0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.49%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 2.5
60.51%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 3.5
19.37%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 3.5
80.62%
▲
(+0.53)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
67.87%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 0.5
32.12%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 1.5
31.4%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
68.6%
▲
(+0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
67.71%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 0.5
32.29%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 1.5
31.2%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
68.8%
▲
(+0.74)
Score analysis
AC Milan
35.82%
Draw
28.61%
Napoli
35.55%
AC Milan
1-0
@
11.78%
▲
(+0.25)
2-1 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.82%
2-1 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.82%
Draw
1-1
@
13.31%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 10.37% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
0-0 @ 10.37% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
Napoli
0-1
@
11.72%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.55%
1-2 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.55%
