Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 2
Napoli

Giroud (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Politano (55' pen.), Simeone (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, September 14 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Atalanta BC	6	7	14
3	AC Milan	6	6	14
4	Udinese	6	6	13

Napoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Rangers 0-3 Napoli
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Napoli	6	9	14
2	Atalanta BC	6	7	14
3	AC Milan	6	6	14

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Napoli
35.82% ( 0.26)	28.62% ( 0.19)	35.56% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 45.95% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.49% (

-0.69)

60.51% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.37% (

-0.52)

80.62% (

0.52)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.87% (

-0.18)

32.12% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.4% (

-0.21)

68.6% (

0.21)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-0.65)

32.29% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

-0.74)

68.8% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 35.82%

Napoli 35.55%

Draw 28.61%

AC Milan	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.82%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.55%