UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Tsirion Stadium

Apollon Limassol
1 - 0
AZ

Roberge (32')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Apollon Limassol and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Apollon Limassol

Last Game: AZ 3-2 Apollon Limassol
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Utrecht 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 53.71%. A win for Apollon Limassol had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Apollon Limassol win was 2-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Apollon Limassol	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
23.89% ( -0.02)	22.4% ( 0)	53.71% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 59.18% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.58% (

-0.03)

40.42% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.2% (

-0.03)

62.8% (

0.03)

Apollon Limassol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68% (

-0.03)

30.33% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.49% (

-0.04)

66.51% (

0.04)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94% (

-0.01)

15.07% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.42% (

-0.01)

43.58% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Apollon Limassol 23.89%

AZ Alkmaar 53.71%

Draw 22.39%

Apollon Limassol	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.89%	1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.16% 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.44% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.71%