UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Rheinpark Stadion

Vaduz
1 - 2
AZ

Hasler (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Milos (50'), van Brederode (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Vaduz and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaduz

All competitions

Last Game: Vaduz 1-2 Dnipro-1
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Young Boys	29	2.23	Nsame
2	Grasshopper	25	1.92	Kawabe
3	St Gallen	24	1.85	Akolo
4	Luzern	20	1.67	Meyer
5	Sion	20	1.54	Stojilkovic
6	Lugano	19	1.46	Celar
7	Basel	18	1.50	Burger
8	Servette	16	1.23	Fofana
9	Winterthur	10	0.77	Buess
10	FC Zurich	8	0.62	Dzemaili

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Excelsior 2-1 AZ
Sunday, October 23 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vaduz had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Vaduz win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
Vaduz	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
21.56% ( 0.03)	22.23% ( 0.03)	56.22% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 56.65% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.67% (

-0.11)

42.33% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.27% (

-0.11)

64.74% (

0.11)

Vaduz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.57% (

-0.03)

33.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.94% (

-0.03)

70.07% (

0.04)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.1% (

-0.06)

14.9% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.74% (

-0.11)

43.27% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Vaduz 21.56%

AZ Alkmaar 56.22%

Draw 22.23%

Vaduz	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 21.56%	1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.23%	1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 56.22%