Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vaduz had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Vaduz win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.