Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.