UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK

Rheinpark Stadion

Vaduz
1 - 2
Dnipro-1

Rastoder (30')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hamache (25'), Dovbyk (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Vaduz and Dnipro-1, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaduz

All competitions

Last Game: Dnipro-1 2-2 Vaduz
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Young Boys	24	2.40	Nsame
2	Grasshopper	19	1.90	Kawabe
3	St Gallen	19	1.90	Gortler
4	Sion	17	1.70	Stojilkovic
5	Lugano	16	1.60	Celar
6	Basel	15	1.67	Burger
7	Luzern	14	1.56	Meyer
8	Servette	12	1.20	Cognat
9	Winterthur	7	0.70	Buess
10	FC Zurich	7	0.70	Okita

Dnipro-1

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Dnipro-1 3-0 Luhansk
Sunday, October 9 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.

Result
Vaduz	Draw	Dnipro-1
33.2% ( 0.18)	26.9% ( 0.05)	39.9% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 50.85% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.73% (

-0.15)

54.28% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.33% (

-0.12)

75.67% (

0.13)

Vaduz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33% (

0.05)

30.68% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.07% (

0.05)

66.93% (

-0.05)

Dnipro-1 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

-0.19)

26.65% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.11% (

-0.26)

61.89% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Vaduz 33.2%

Dnipro-1 39.9%

Draw 26.89%

Vaduz	Draw	Dnipro-1
1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.2%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.9%