Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Oct 30, 2022 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
2 - 1
Volendam

Odgaard (20'), Reijnders (40')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Veerman (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Vaduz 1-2 AZ
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Volendam

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 1-3 Heerenveen
Sunday, October 23 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 14.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Volendam
68.26% ( 0.19)	17.59% ( -0.05)	14.15% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 58.02% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.57% (

-0.05)

33.43% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.78% (

-0.05)

55.21% (

0.05)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.05% (

0.03)

8.94% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.46% (

0.07)

30.53% (

-0.07)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.72% (

-0.21)

36.27% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.94% (

-0.22)

73.05% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 68.26%

FC Volendam 14.15%

Draw 17.59%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Volendam
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 68.26%	1-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.59%	1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 14.15%