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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Volendam |
68.26% ( 0.19) | 17.59% ( -0.05) | 14.15% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 58.02% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.57% ( -0.05) | 33.43% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.78% ( -0.05) | 55.21% ( 0.05) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.05% ( 0.03) | 8.94% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.46% ( 0.07) | 30.53% ( -0.07) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.72% ( -0.21) | 36.27% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.94% ( -0.22) | 73.05% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 68.26% | 1-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.59% | 1-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 14.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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