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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 48.07% | 23.55% | 28.38% |
| Both teams to score 59.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% ( | 41.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% | 64.26% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% | 17.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.8% | 48.2% |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% | 27.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% | 63.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.82% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.38% |