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FC Volendam
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 7pm UK
Kras Stadion
Heerenveen

Volendam
1 - 3
Heerenveen

Muhren (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
van Hooijdonk (24'), Kohlert (85'), Sarr (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Volendam and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Volendam

All competitions
Last Game: Emmen 1-1 Volendam
Friday, October 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, October 15 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 54.44%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
FC VolendamDrawHeerenveen
23.24% (-0.141 -0.14)22.32% (0.027999999999999 0.03)54.44% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 58.64% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.24% (-0.293 -0.29)40.76% (0.29 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.85% (-0.299 -0.3)63.14% (0.297 0.3)
FC Volendam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (-0.28 -0.28)31.06% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (-0.33 -0.33)67.37% (0.328 0.33)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.06% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)14.94% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.65% (-0.123 -0.12)43.34% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    FC Volendam 23.24%
    Heerenveen 54.44%
    Draw 22.31%
FC VolendamDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 6.03% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.43% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 23.24%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.64% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.097 0.1)
0-2 @ 8.39% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 6.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.31% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.53% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.12% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 54.44%

How you voted: Volendam vs Heerenveen

FC Volendam
25.0%
Draw
10.0%
Heerenveen
65.0%
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