Conference League
Nov 3, 2022 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jens Odgaard 8' goal
  • Vangelis Pavlidis 87' goal
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 40'

AZ Alkmaar vs Dnipro-1 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
Vaduz 1 - 2 AZ

Dnipro-1

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 27, 2022 8.00pm
Dnipro-1 1 - 0 Apollon Limassol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result

AZ Alkmaar 57.52% (-0.12)
Draw 22.99% (-0.02)
Dnipro-1 19.5% (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.96% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.67% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 48.33% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 29.53% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 70.47% (-0.24)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 83.46% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 16.54% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 53.69% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 46.31% (-0.09)

Dnipro-1 Goals

Over 0.5 61.06% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 38.93% (-0.30)
Over 1.5 24.34% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 75.66% (-0.28)

Score analysis

AZ Alkmaar 57.5%
Draw 22.98%
Dnipro-1 19.5%
AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 10.42% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.83% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.25% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.9% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.81% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.65% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 57.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.98%
Dnipro-1
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.16% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.87% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.62% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.46% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 19.5%

Head to Head

Conference League
Sep 8, 2022 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Dani de Wit 63'