UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
2 - 1
Dnipro-1

Odgaard (8'), Pavlidis (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dovbyk (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AZ Alkmaar and Dnipro-1, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: AZ 2-1 Volendam
Sunday, October 30 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dnipro-1

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Dnipro-1 1-0 Chornomorets
Sunday, October 30 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Dnipro-1
57.52% ( -0.12)	22.99% ( -0.02)	19.5% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 50.96% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.67% (

0.25)

48.33% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.53% (

0.23)

70.47% (

-0.23)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.46% (

0.05)

16.54% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.69% (

0.09)

46.31% (

-0.09)

Dnipro-1 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.06% (

0.29)

38.93% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.34% (

0.28)

75.66% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 57.5%

Dnipro-1 19.5%

Draw 22.98%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Dnipro-1
1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 57.5%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.98%	0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.5%