Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 12.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.