Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 18, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadion Chornomorets

Chornomorets
0 - 4
Luhansk

FT(HT: 0-3)
Buletsa (17'), Kyryukhantsev (30'), Rusyn (44'), Shakhov (86')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and Zorya Luhansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vorskla 2-1 Chornomorets
Saturday, October 8 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dnipro-1 3-0 Luhansk
Sunday, October 9 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Chornomorets OdesaDrawZorya Luhansk
29.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.88%45.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73%47.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5%69.5% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.8% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13% (0.0049999999999955 0)65.88% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)20.69% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)53.29% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Chornomorets Odesa 29.31%
    Zorya Luhansk 45.81%
    Draw 24.88%
Chornomorets OdesaDrawZorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 7.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 29.31%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.17%
2-2 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 9.27%
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 2.95%
1-4 @ 1.92%
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 45.81%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 5.30pm
Luhansk
3-0
Chornomorets
Kabaiev (2'), Hladkyy (45+1' pen.), Sayyadmanesh (89')
Favorov (38'), Kabaiev (56'), Sayyadmanesh (89')

Mykhailenko (12'), Avagimian (82')
Nov 4, 2018 5.30pm
Chornomorets
0-3
Luhansk

Ostapenko (25')
Tymchyk (27'), Mayboroda (66'), Karavaev (72')
Aug 4, 2018 5.30pm
Luhansk
1-1
Chornomorets
Ratao (22')
Cheberko (88')
Savchenko (59')
Grachov (52')