Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.