Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 23, 2022 at 1pm UK

Slavutych-Arena

Luhansk
3 - 1
Vorskla

Nazaryna (7' pen.), Bezborodko (30', 53')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Oliynyk (73' pen.)
Batsula (14'), Sklyar (66')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Vorskla Poltava.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

Last Six:

Last Game: U Craiova 3-0 Luhansk
Thursday, August 11 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Veres	0	0	0
15	Vorskla Poltava	0	0	0
16	Zorya Luhansk	0	0	0

Vorskla Poltava

Last Six:

Last Game: AIK 2-0 Vorskla
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Veres	0	0	0
15	Vorskla Poltava	0	0	0
16	Zorya Luhansk	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Vorskla Poltava
51.55% ( 0.75)	24.39% ( -0.25)	24.06% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 52.76% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.99% (

0.61)

49% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.91% (

0.55)

71.09% (

-0.55)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81% (

0.53)

19% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.45% (

0.88)

50.55% (

-0.88)

Vorskla Poltava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.13% (

-0.11)

34.86% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.4% (

-0.11)

71.6% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 51.55%

Vorskla Poltava 24.06%

Draw 24.39%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Vorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.55%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.06%