Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.