UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 11, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Complexul Sportiv Raional

U Craiova
3 - 0
Luhansk

(Universitatea Craiova win 3-1 on aggregate)

Silva (5'), Baiaram (53'), Bancu (56')
Ivan (31'), Koljic (45'), Silva (71'), Mateiu (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nazaryna (71')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Universitatea Craiova and Zorya Luhansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitatea Craiova

Last Game: Luhansk 1-0 U Craiova
Thursday, August 4 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Zorya Luhansk

Last Six:

Last Game: Luhansk 1-0 U Craiova
Thursday, August 4 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Dynamo Kiev	14	28	35
3	Zorya Luhansk	14	17	29
4	Vorskla Poltava	14	12	28

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitatea Craiova would win this match.

Result
Universitatea Craiova	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
48.16% ( 0.03)	23.37% ( 0)	28.46% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 60.24% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.99% (

-0.04)

41% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.6% (

-0.04)

63.39% (

0.04)

Universitatea Craiova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.75% (

-0.01)

17.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.43% (

-0.01)

47.56% (

0.01)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8% (

-0.04)

27.2% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.38% (

-0.05)

62.61% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Universitatea Craiova 48.16%

Zorya Luhansk 28.46%

Draw 23.37%

Universitatea Craiova	Draw	Zorya Luhansk
2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 4% Total : 48.16%	1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.46%