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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Arena Lublin
U Craiova

Luhansk
1 - 0
U Craiova

Nagnoynyi (55')
Nagnoynyi (50'), Danchenko (59'), Nazaryna (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bancu (6'), Capatina (55')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Zorya Luhansk and Universitatea Craiova.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zorya Luhansk

Last Six:
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-1 Luhansk
Sunday, December 12 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Universitatea Craiova

Last Six:
    Last Game: U Craiova 3-0 Vllaznia Shkoder
    Thursday, July 28 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Universitatea Craiova had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zorya Luhansk in this match.

    Result
    Zorya LuhanskDrawUniversitatea Craiova
    41.75% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)32.32% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
    Both teams to score 53.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    49.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)50.56%
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    27.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)72.48% (0.0010000000000048 0)
    Zorya Luhansk Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    76% (0.010999999999996 0.01)24% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    41.76% (0.016000000000005 0.02)58.24% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
    Universitatea Craiova Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    70.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)29.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    34.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)65.39% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
    Score Analysis
        Zorya Luhansk 41.75%
        Universitatea Craiova 32.32%
        Draw 25.93%
    Zorya LuhanskDrawUniversitatea Craiova
    1-0 @ 10.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    2-0 @ 7.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    3-1 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    3-0 @ 3.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    3-2 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    4-1 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
    4-0 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
    4-2 @ 0.91%
    Other @ 1.9%
    Total : 41.75%
    		1-1 @ 12.32%
    0-0 @ 7.06%
    2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    3-3 @ 1.05%
    Other @ 0.12%
    Total : 25.93%
    		0-1 @ 8.64% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
    1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
    0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
    1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
    Other @ 2.48%
    Total : 32.32%

    How you voted: Luhansk vs U Craiova

    Zorya Luhansk
    62.5%
    Draw
    12.5%
    Universitatea Craiova
    25.0%
    8