Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.