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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butov'skogo

Vorskla
3 - 2
AIK

Stepanyuk (4'), Kozyrenko (24'), Chelyadin (69')
Perduta (43'), Kozyrenko (57'), Puclin (79'), Stepanyuk (90')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Stefanelli (17'), Larsson (44')
Papagiannopoulos (39'), Larsson (54'), Ring (89'), Milosevic (90+1')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Vorskla Poltava and AIK Fotboll.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vorskla Poltava

Last Six:
Last Game: Lviv 1-1 Vorskla
Saturday, December 11 at 5.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

AIK Fotboll

Last Six:
Last Game: AIK 1-0 Kalmar
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawAIK Fotboll
31.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)40.34% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.24% (-0.112 -0.11)58.76% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.71% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)79.29% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)34.05% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)70.73% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
AIK Fotboll Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)28.52% (0.069999999999997 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.69% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)64.3% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 31.65%
    AIK Fotboll 40.34%
    Draw 27.99%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawAIK Fotboll
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.65%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.71% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 12.18% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 40.34%