Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 3

Sep 3, 2022 at 11am UK

Slavutych-Arena

Luhansk
3 - 2
Dynamo Kiev

Rusyn (7'), Myshnyov (35'), Brazhko (70')
Rusyn (31'), Vantukh (58'), Nazaryna (79'), Alefirenko (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vanat (49'), Buyalskyy (83')
Syrota (22'), Zabarnyi (42'), Vanat (51'), Karavaev (55'), Shaparenko (75'), Buyalskyy (86')

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Dynamo Kiev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Kiev

Last Six:

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-3 Dnipro-1
Sunday, August 28 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Vorskla Poltava	2	-3	0
15	Dynamo Kiev	1	-3	0
16	Rukh Lviv	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
43.26% ( -2.37)	25.2% ( 0.33)	31.54% ( 2.04)

Both teams to score 55.78% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.34% (

-0.54)

47.66% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.14% (

-0.5)

69.86% (

0.5)

Zorya Luhansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

-1.3)

22% (

1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.69% (

-2)

55.31% (

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52% (

1.11)

28.48% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75% (

1.37)

64.25% (

-1.38)

Score Analysis

Zorya Luhansk 43.26%

Dynamo Kiev 31.54%

Draw 25.19%

Zorya Luhansk	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.26%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.54%