Champions League

Champions League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 23, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 0
Dynamo Kiev

(Benfica win 5-0 on aggregate)

Otamendi (27'), Silva (40'), Neres (42')
Musa (85')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Shaparenko (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Dynamo Kiev, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Braga	3	8	7
3	Benfica	2	5	6
4	Portimonense	3	3	6

Dynamo Kiev

Last Six:

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Dnipro-1	0	0	0
3	Dynamo Kiev	0	0	0
4	FC Lviv	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 15.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
60.15% ( -0.02)	24.12% ( -0.01)	15.72% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 41.06% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.08% (

0.07)

57.92% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.38% (

0.05)

78.62% (

-0.05)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9% (

0.02)

19.1% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.28% (

0.03)

50.72% (

-0.03)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.76% (

0.08)

49.24% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.87% (

0.06)

84.13% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Benfica 60.15%

Dynamo Kiev 15.72%

Draw 24.12%

Benfica	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 15.57% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.88% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.62% Total : 60.15%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 24.12%	0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.72%