/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
-
Neto
7'
-
Saviour Godwin
27'
-
Afonso Taira
31'
-
Takahiro Kunimoto
53'
-
Vasco Fernandes
59'
-
Anderson
90'+1'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
29'
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Florentino Luis
30'
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Goncalo Ramos
59'
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Nicolas Otamendi
90'+2'
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Rafa Silva
90'+5'
Casa Pia vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F31%2Fenzo-fernandez.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.46%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Casa Pia
13.1%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
19.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Benfica
67.55%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
48.5%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.69%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
44.31%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
33.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
66.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5
55.2%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
44.8%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
19.22%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
80.77%
▲
(+0.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
87.87%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
12.13%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
62.28%
Under 1.5
37.72%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
13.1%
Draw
19.35%
Benfica
67.54%
Casa Pia
1-0
@
4.36%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 13.1%
2-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 13.1%
Draw
1-1
@
9.21%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 19.35%
0-0 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 19.35%
Benfica
0-2
@
12.09%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 11.46% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 67.54%
0-1 @ 11.46% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 67.54%