Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 13, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
0 - 1
Benfica

Neto (7'), Godwin (27'), Taira (31'), Kunimoto (53'), Fernandes (59'), Anderson (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramos (59')
Otamendi (29'), Luis (30'), Silva (90+5')
Otamendi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

Last Six:

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-0 Casa Pia
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Sporting Lisbon	1	0	1
10	Casa Pia	1	0	1
11	Santa Clara	1	0	1

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Midtjylland 1-3 Benfica
Tuesday, August 9 at 6.45pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Porto	1	4	3
3	Benfica	1	4	3
4	Estoril Praia	1	2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 13.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.46%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Benfica
13.1% ( -0.02)	19.35% ( -0)	67.55% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.5% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

-0.01)

44.31% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31% (

-0.01)

66.69% (

0.01)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.2% (

-0.03)

44.8% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.22% (

-0.02)

80.77% (

0.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.87% (

-0)

12.13% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.28%

37.72% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 13.1%

Benfica 67.54%

Draw 19.35%

Casa Pia	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 4.36% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.1%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.35%	0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 67.54%